Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.