Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 5

Aug 21, 2022 at 8pm UK

AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne

Mechelen
5 - 4
Westerlo

Hairemans (39', 48'), Schoofs (76'), Robberechts (77', 85')
Van Hecke (63')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dorgeles (26'), Dierckx (60' pen., 63'), Foster (73')
Bernat (22'), van den Keybus (90')

Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Mechelen and Westerlo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mechelen

Last Six:

Last Game: Cercle Brugge 0-0 Mechelen
Saturday, August 13 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Sint-Truiden	5	-2	6
12	Mechelen	4	0	4
13	Standard Liege	4	-2	4

Westerlo

Last Six:

Last Game: Westerlo 4-2 Standard Liege
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Union SG	4	-1	7
7	Westerlo	4	1	6
8	Charleroi	4	0	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Mechelen	Draw	Westerlo
36.47% ( 0.22)	24.27% ( 0.12)	39.26% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 60.4% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.77% (

-0.57)

42.23% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.37% (

-0.57)

64.63% (

0.58)

Mechelen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.02% (

-0.14)

22.99% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.22% (

-0.21)

56.78% (

0.22)

Westerlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.43% (

-0.41)

21.57% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.34% (

-0.64)

54.66% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Mechelen 36.47%

Westerlo 39.26%

Draw 24.27%

Mechelen	Draw	Westerlo
2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 36.47%	1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.27%	1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.6% Total : 39.26%