Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 30
Mar 19, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stade Joseph Mariën
KV Mechelen

Union SG
2 - 1
Mechelen

Lapoussin (10'), Teuma (56' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ngoy (4')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Mechelen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 3-0 Union Berlin
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa League

Mechelen

All competitions
Last Game: Mechelen 1-0 Sint-Truiden
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 73.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 10.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 3-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Mechelen win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawMechelen
73.38% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)16.22% (0.036000000000001 0.04)10.4% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.63% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.1% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)36.89% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.93% (-0.107 -0.11)59.07% (0.103 0.1)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.32% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)8.67% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.12% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)29.88% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.43% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)44.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.42% (-0.012 -0.01)80.58% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 73.37%
    Mechelen 10.4%
    Draw 16.22%
Union SGDrawMechelen
2-0 @ 11.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.45% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.41% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.75% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 2.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.88% (-0.006 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.15% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 73.37%
1-1 @ 7.64% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.87% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 16.22%
0-1 @ 3.12% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.09% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 10.4%

How you voted: Union SG vs Mechelen

Union SG
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Mechelen
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 7.45pm
Mechelen
3-0
Union SG
Schoofs (44'), Thierry Lazare (51' og.), Ngoy (59')
Lavalee (60'), Schoofs (65')

Boone (11'), Ziani (56'), Teuma (58'), Lapoussin (88'), Puertas (90+1')
Dec 12, 2021 3pm
Union SG
2-0
Mechelen
Vanzeir (35'), Teuma (55')
Francois (16'), Nielsen (46'), Burgess (69'), Van der Heyden (70')

Mrabti (13'), van Hoorenbeeck (52')
Aug 22, 2021 8pm
Mechelen
3-1
Union SG
Cuypers (13'), Shved (55'), Storm (77')
de Souza Costa (8'), Shved (64')
Vanzeir (1')
Vanzeir (69'), Sorinola (90+1'), Nieuwkoop (90+3')
Jan 29, 2019 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Union SG
1-2
Mechelen
Lemoine (90' og.)
Selemani (33'), Iriondo Petralanda (60'), Vega (87')
Alberto Rinck de Camargo (30'), Tainmont (64')
Lemoine (25'), Kaya (38'), Tainmont (88'), Van Damme (90')
Jan 23, 2019 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Mechelen
0-0
Union SG

Peyre (44'), Niakate (59'), Kandouss (88')
Peyre (46')