Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 55.29%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 22.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.