Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Charleroi win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.