Westerlo
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 23
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Het Kuipje
KV Mechelen

Westerlo
2 - 0
Mechelen

Vaesen (22', 56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Westerlo and Mechelen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zulte 1-1 Westerlo
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Mechelen 3-2 Kortrijk
Saturday, January 21 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Westerlo would win this match.

Result
WesterloDrawMechelen
40.09% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)23.93% (0.02 0.02)35.97% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Both teams to score 61.59% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.35% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)40.65% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.96% (-0.102 -0.1)63.04% (0.102 0.1)
Westerlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)20.5% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.02% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)52.98% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.47% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)22.53% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.89% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)56.11% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Westerlo 40.09%
    Mechelen 35.97%
    Draw 23.93%
WesterloDrawMechelen
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.32% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 40.09%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.62% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 8.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.88% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.13% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 35.97%

Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 8pm
Mechelen
5-4
Westerlo
Hairemans (39', 48'), Schoofs (76'), Robberechts (77', 85')
Van Hecke (63')
Dorgeles (26'), Dierckx (60' pen., 63'), Foster (73')
Bernat (22'), van den Keybus (90')