Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 71.44%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 10.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.12%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Standard Liege win it was 0-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.