Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2023 at 6.15pm UK
Stade Joseph Mariën

Union SG
2 - 1
Eupen

Adingra (14'), Vertessen (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Prevljak (90+5')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Eupen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Last Game: Westerlo 4-2 Union SG
Saturday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Eupen

All competitions
Last Game: Eupen 2-2 Cercle Brugge
Saturday, February 25 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 76.74%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 8.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.11%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Eupen win it was 0-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawEupen
76.74% (1.045 1.05)14.59% (-0.447 -0.45)8.67% (-0.598 -0.6)
Both teams to score 49.54% (-0.996 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.42% (0.11099999999999 0.11)34.57% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.48% (0.124 0.12)56.51% (-0.125 -0.13)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.59% (0.241 0.24)7.4% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.32% (0.62400000000001 0.62)26.68% (-0.625 -0.63)
Eupen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.51% (-1.217 -1.22)46.49% (1.216 1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.9% (-0.947 -0.95)82.1% (0.946 0.95)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 76.73%
    Eupen 8.67%
    Draw 14.59%
Union SGDrawEupen
2-0 @ 11.66% (0.22 0.22)
3-0 @ 10.11% (0.306 0.31)
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-1 @ 7.75% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 6.59% (0.284 0.28)
4-1 @ 5.04% (0.05 0.05)
5-0 @ 3.43% (0.189 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.11 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.63% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.047 -0.05)
6-0 @ 1.49% (0.1 0.1)
6-1 @ 1.14% (0.039 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 76.73%
1-1 @ 6.86% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 3.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.172 -0.17)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 14.59%
0-1 @ 2.64% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-2 @ 2.63% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-2 @ 1.01% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 8.67%

How you voted: Union SG vs Eupen

Union SG
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Eupen
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 3pm
Eupen
1-2
Union SG
Boris (18')
Wakaso (20')
Adingra (8'), Okoh Boniface (90+2')
Feb 26, 2022 3.15pm
Union SG
0-0
Eupen

Peeters (44'), Magnee (64'), Amat (65'), Beck (90+2')
Oct 23, 2021 7.45pm
Eupen
2-3
Union SG
Kayembe (75'), Agbadou (78')
Amat (90+7')
Undav (7' pen.), Teuma (29'), Nielsen (79')
Burgess (21'), Nieuwkoop (23'), Undav (68')