Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 76.74%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 8.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.11%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Eupen win it was 0-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.