Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 25
Feb 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion am Kehrweg
KV Mechelen

Eupen
2 - 1
Mechelen

N'dri (86'), Baiye (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Verstraete (10')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Eupen and Mechelen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eupen

All competitions
Last Game: Eupen 1-1 Westerlo
Saturday, February 4 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Mechelen

All competitions
Last Game: Mechelen 2-2 Charleroi
Sunday, February 5 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eupen win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 37.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eupen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Eupen in this match.

Result
EupenDrawMechelen
38.1% (-0.055 -0.05)24.45% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)37.45% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Both teams to score 59.78% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.94% (0.036000000000001 0.04)43.06% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.54% (0.034999999999997 0.03)65.46% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Eupen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.48% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)22.52% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.91% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)56.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.049000000000007 0.05)22.85% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (0.072000000000003 0.07)56.58% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Eupen 38.1%
    Mechelen 37.45%
    Draw 24.45%
EupenDrawMechelen
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.67% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.15%
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 38.1%
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.45%
1-2 @ 8.36% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.61% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.76% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 37.45%

How you voted: Eupen vs Mechelen

Eupen
15.4%
Draw
38.5%
Mechelen
46.2%
13
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 5.15pm
Mechelen
2-1
Eupen
Da Cruz (22'), Ngoy (76' pen.)
N'dri (16')
Boris (41')
Mar 19, 2022 3.15pm
Eupen
1-1
Mechelen
Boris (8')
Amat (42'), Agbadou (76')
Amat (43')
Schoofs (21')
Aug 7, 2021 5.30pm
Mechelen
1-3
Eupen
De Souza Costa (33')
Peeters (49'), Agbadou (85'), Embalo (90')
Prevljak (42'), Embalo (90+1')
Jan 23, 2021 3.15pm
Mechelen
3-0
Eupen
Hairemans (26'), Mrabti (47'), De Camargo (74')
Peyre (35'), Mrabti (78'), Kabore (90+3')

Miangue (52')
Dec 3, 2020 4pm
Eupen
1-1
Mechelen
Ngoy (20')
Schoofs (90+2')
Vanlerberghe (78'), Van Damme (88')