Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eupen win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 37.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eupen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Eupen in this match.