Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 66.38%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 15.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Eupen win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.