Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Genk had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.