Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 63.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Westerlo had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 1-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Westerlo win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.