Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 76.33%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 8.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 1-2 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.