Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.