Anderlecht
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 15
Oct 30, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Lotto Park

Anderlecht
4 - 2
Eupen

Amuzu (14'), Refaelov (19', 65'), Ait El Hadj (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hoedt (44' og.), Peeters (68')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Anderlecht and Eupen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Anderlecht 2-2 FCSB
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Mechelen 2-1 Eupen
Saturday, October 22 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 73.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 9.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.65%) and 3-0 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Eupen win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.

Result
AnderlechtDrawEupen
73.65% (0.889 0.89)16.84% (-0.312 -0.31)9.5% (-0.575 -0.58)
Both teams to score 44.66% (-1.194 -1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.21% (-0.347 -0.35)42.79% (0.351 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.81% (-0.345 -0.34)65.19% (0.348 0.35)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.9% (0.134 0.13)10.1% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.74% (0.301 0.3)33.26% (-0.29799999999999 -0.3)
Eupen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.68% (-1.404 -1.4)50.32% (1.406 1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.12% (-0.984 -0.98)84.88% (0.98699999999999 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Anderlecht 73.64%
    Eupen 9.5%
    Draw 16.84%
AnderlechtDrawEupen
2-0 @ 13.35% (0.35 0.35)
1-0 @ 11.65% (0.25 0.25)
3-0 @ 10.2% (0.318 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 7.01% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 5.85% (0.218 0.22)
4-1 @ 4.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.68% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.12 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.84% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.06 -0.06)
6-0 @ 1.03% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 73.64%
1-1 @ 8% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.08% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.15% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 16.84%
0-1 @ 3.49% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-2 @ 2.75% (-0.169 -0.17)
0-2 @ 1.2% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 9.5%

Head to Head
Feb 6, 2022 5.30pm
Anderlecht
4-1
Eupen
Zirkzee (3', 24'), Kouame (7'), Raman (88')
Prevljak (13')
Peeters (54')
Jul 31, 2021 7.45pm
Eupen
1-1
Anderlecht
Cools (45+1')
Agbadou (30')
Raman (39')
Murillo (61')
Jan 15, 2021 7.45pm
Eupen
2-0
Anderlecht
Prevljak (75', 85')
Peeters (40')

Vlap (14'), Wellenreuther (41'), Miazga (90')
Lawrence (39')
Sep 27, 2020 3pm
Anderlecht
1-1
Eupen
Sambi Lokonga (71')
Doku (38'), Ait El Hadj (90+3')
Ngoy (90')
Adriano (58'), Peeters (81'), Koch (89'), Vazquez Solsona (90+4')
Feb 23, 2020 5pm
Anderlecht
6-1
Eupen
Murillo (9'), Vlap (17' pen.), Pjaca (25'), Kompany (35'), Amuzu (52'), Bakkali (90')
Sardella (77')
Bolingi (78')
Beck (20'), Cools (50')
Amat (16')