KV Mechelen
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 14
Oct 22, 2022 at 5.15pm UK
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne

Mechelen
2 - 1
Eupen

Da Cruz (22'), Ngoy (76' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
N'dri (16')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Mechelen and Eupen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mechelen

All competitions
Last Game: Mechelen 2-0 Standard Liege
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Eupen

All competitions
Last Game: Eupen 4-2 Leuven
Tuesday, October 18 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 59.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 18.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Eupen win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.

Result
MechelenDrawEupen
59.8% (0.107 0.11)21.81% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)18.38% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.75% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.03% (0.033000000000001 0.03)44.97% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.68% (0.033000000000001 0.03)67.32% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.36% (0.042999999999992 0.04)14.63% (-0.048 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.24% (0.085999999999999 0.09)42.76% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Eupen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.79% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)38.21% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.03% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)74.97% (0.059999999999988 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Mechelen 59.79%
    Eupen 18.38%
    Draw 21.8%
MechelenDrawEupen
1-0 @ 10.74%
2-0 @ 10.32% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.62% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.36% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.18% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 3.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 59.79%
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.8%
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 18.38%

Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3.15pm
Eupen
1-1
Mechelen
Boris (8')
Amat (42'), Agbadou (76')
Amat (43')
Schoofs (21')
Aug 7, 2021 5.30pm
Mechelen
1-3
Eupen
De Souza Costa (33')
Peeters (49'), Agbadou (85'), Embalo (90')
Prevljak (42'), Embalo (90+1')
Jan 23, 2021 3.15pm
Mechelen
3-0
Eupen
Hairemans (26'), Mrabti (47'), De Camargo (74')
Peyre (35'), Mrabti (78'), Kabore (90+3')

Miangue (52')
Dec 3, 2020 4pm
Eupen
1-1
Mechelen
Ngoy (20')
Schoofs (90+2')
Vanlerberghe (78'), Van Damme (88')
Mar 7, 2020 7pm
Mechelen
1-1
Eupen
De Camargo (40')
Prevljak (54')
Verdon (21'), Blondelle (28')