/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fgenlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fkvmlog.png)
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Daniel Munoz
9'
-
Gerardo Arteaga
57'
-
Joseph Paintsil
90'+1'
-
Rob Schoofs
15'
Genk vs Mechelen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 73.79%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 10.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 3-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for a Mechelen win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
Result
Genk
73.79%
▲
(+0.18)
Draw
15.31%
▼
(-0.10)
Mechelen
10.9%
▼
(-0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
56.38%
▲
(+0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
69.34%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 2.5
30.66%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 3.5
48.01%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 3.5
51.99%
▼
(-0.29)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5
92.89%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
7.1%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 1.5
74.11%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
25.89%
▼
(-0.24)
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5
60.69%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
39.31%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
23.99%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
76.01%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Genk
73.79%
Draw
15.31%
Mechelen
10.9%
Genk
2-0
@
9.76%
▼
(-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 8.61% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 8.04% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.03)
5-2 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.02)
6-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 73.79%
2-1 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 8.61% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 8.04% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.03)
5-2 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.02)
6-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 73.79%
Draw
1-1
@
6.9%
▼
(-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 15.31%
2-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 15.31%
Mechelen
1-2
@
3.22%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 10.9%
0-1 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 10.9%
Thibault Peyre
26'