Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Club Brugge had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Club Brugge win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.