Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 68.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 13.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 2-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.