Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Westerlo would win this match.