KV Mechelen
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 26
Feb 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
Genk

Mechelen
2 - 2
Genk

Hairemans (21'), Storm (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Mechelen and Genk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eupen 2-1 Mechelen
Friday, February 10 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Genk 0-1 Antwerp
Sunday, February 12 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 56.75%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.47%) and 0-1 (7.02%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
MechelenDrawGenk
22.56% (-0.539 -0.54)20.68% (-0.214 -0.21)56.75% (0.749 0.75)
Both teams to score 63.69% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.26% (0.381 0.38)33.74% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.43% (0.433 0.43)55.56% (-0.436 -0.44)
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (-0.221 -0.22)27.7% (0.217 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73% (-0.282 -0.28)63.26% (0.279 0.28)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.1% (0.333 0.33)11.9% (-0.336 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.77% (0.70800000000001 0.71)37.23% (-0.711 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    Mechelen 22.56%
    Genk 56.75%
    Draw 20.68%
MechelenDrawGenk
2-1 @ 5.78% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-0 @ 4.23% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 2.72% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.16% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 22.56%
1-1 @ 9.01% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.3% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 20.68%
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 7.47% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 6.8% (0.091 0.09)
0-3 @ 5.3% (0.103 0.1)
2-3 @ 4.37% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.62% (0.095 0.1)
0-4 @ 2.82% (0.091 0.09)
2-4 @ 2.32% (0.047 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.54% (0.061 0.06)
0-5 @ 1.2% (0.054 0.05)
3-4 @ 0.99% (0.014 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.99% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 56.75%

How you voted: Mechelen vs Genk

Mechelen
11.1%
Draw
0.0%
Genk
88.9%
18
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2022 7.45pm
Genk
3-1
Mechelen
Munoz (9'), Arteaga (57'), Paintsil (90+1')
Schoofs (15')
Bolingoli-Mbombo (25')
May 21, 2022 7.45pm
Mechelen
0-0
Genk

Van Hecke (31'), Souza (54')

McKenzie (49'), Preciado (88')
Apr 29, 2022 7.45pm
Genk
4-2
Mechelen
Munoz (31'), Bongonda (80', 87'), Paintsil (90+4')
Outtara (25')
Hairemans (60'), Schoofs (84')
Schoofs (14'), Cuypers (69'), Bijker (75')
Feb 16, 2022 5.45pm
Genk
4-1
Mechelen
Oyen (5'), Mujaid (66'), Bongonda (80'), Onuachu (86')
Cuypers (46')
Peyre (26')
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
Mechelen
1-1
Genk
Storm (50')
Mrabti (90+4')
Coucke (62')
Bongonda (43')