Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Genk	Draw	Union SG
51.63% ( -0.05)	22.61% ( 0.02)	25.76% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 60.54% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.44% (

-0.04)

39.56% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.09% (

-0.04)

61.91% (

0.05)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.54% (

-0.03)

15.46% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.67% (

-0.06)

44.33% (

0.07)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.61% (

0.01)

28.39% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.86% (

0.01)

64.14% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Genk 51.63%

Union SG 25.76%

Draw 22.6%

Genk	Draw	Union SG
2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 3.81% Total : 51.63%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.6%	1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 25.76%