Europa League

Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
3 - 3
Union SG

(Union SG win 6-3 on aggregate)

Juranovic (42'), Knoche (69'), Michel (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Okoh Boniface (28', 72'), Vertessen (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Union Berlin and Union SG, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 FC Koln
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union SG

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Union SG 2-1 Eupen
Sunday, March 5 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Union SG
47.11% ( -0.93)	24.99% ( 0.27)	27.9% ( 0.67)

Both teams to score 54.33% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.41% (

-0.69)

48.59% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.29% (

-0.63)

70.71% (

0.64)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.34% (

-0.67)

20.66% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.75% (

-1.08)

53.24% (

1.08)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.48% (

0.14)

31.52% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.09% (

0.16)

67.91% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 47.1%

Union SG 27.9%

Draw 24.98%

Union Berlin	Draw	Union SG
1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.66% Total : 47.1%	1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.81% Total : 27.9%