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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 76.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 8.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.22%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Union Berlin |
76.77% ( -0.1) | 14.65% ( 0.06) | 8.59% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 48.89% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.8% ( -0.14) | 35.2% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.79% ( -0.15) | 57.21% ( 0.15) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.46% ( -0.05) | 7.54% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.97% ( -0.14) | 27.03% ( 0.13) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.88% | 47.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.42% | 82.58% |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 76.76% | 1-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 14.65% | 0-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 8.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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