Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 22

Feb 26, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
3 - 0
Union Berlin

Maxim Choupo-Moting (31'), Coman (40'), Musiala (45+1')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-2 Bayern
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-1 Ajax
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 76.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 8.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.22%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Union Berlin
76.77% ( -0.1)	14.65% ( 0.06)	8.59% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 48.89% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.8% (

-0.14)

35.2% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.79% (

-0.15)

57.21% (

0.15)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.46% (

-0.05)

7.54% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.97% (

-0.14)

27.03% (

0.13)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.88%

47.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.42%

82.58%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 76.76%

Union Berlin 8.59%

Draw 14.65%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Union Berlin
2-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 76.76%	1-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 14.65%	0-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 8.59%