Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 19

Feb 5, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Wolfsburg
2 - 4
Bayern

Kaminski (44'), Svanberg (80')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Coman (9', 14'), Muller (19'), Musiala (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 0-4 Bayern
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.77%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 14.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
14.33% ( -2.04)	15.89% ( -0.49)	69.77% ( 2.53)

Both teams to score 65.89% (

-3.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.84% (

-1.98)

24.15% (

1.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.19% (

-2.67)

43.81% (

2.66)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.33% (

-3.64)

29.66% (

3.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.28% (

-4.65)

65.71% (

4.65)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.67% (

-0.05)

6.32% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.22% (

-0.13)

23.77% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 14.33%

Bayern Munich 69.77%

Draw 15.89%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.16% Total : 14.33%	1-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.39) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.38) 0-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.47% Total : 15.89%	1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 8% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.89) 0-3 @ 6.58% ( 0.8) 1-4 @ 5.52% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.65) 2-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.37) 0-4 @ 4.54% ( 0.54) 2-4 @ 3.35% ( -0.27) 1-5 @ 3.05% ( 0.07) 0-5 @ 2.51% ( 0.29) 2-5 @ 1.85% ( -0.15) 1-6 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.27) 0-6 @ 1.15% ( 0.13) Other @ 4.59% Total : 69.77%