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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 19, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Schalke

Union Berlin
0 - 0
Schalke


Behrens (32'), Giesselmann (55')
FT

Jenz (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 0-0 Union Berlin
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Schalke 0-0 Wolfsburg
Friday, February 10 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-0 Schalke 04

Anything but a win for Union Berlin against the side bottom of the table would be devastating to their title hopes, and they must ensure they do not have one eye on their second leg with Ajax coming up. Despite three clean sheets on the spin, Schalke may find it much tougher to shut out one of the most in-form sides in Europe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 19.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawSchalke 04
58.04% (0.381 0.38) 22.3% (-0.133 -0.13) 19.66% (-0.249 -0.25)
Both teams to score 53.42% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81% (0.223 0.22)45.19% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (0.214 0.21)67.53% (-0.215 -0.22)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72% (0.20099999999999 0.2)15.28% (-0.202 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.02% (0.378 0.38)43.98% (-0.379 -0.38)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.05% (-0.134 -0.13)36.95% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.26% (-0.133 -0.13)73.74% (0.131 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 58.04%
    Schalke 04 19.66%
    Draw 22.29%
Union BerlinDrawSchalke 04
1-0 @ 10.6% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.96% (0.044 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.24% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.93% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 58.04%
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.64% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 5.62% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.8% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 19.66%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Schalke

Union Berlin
88.5%
Draw
8.3%
Schalke 04
3.1%
96
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Schalke
1-6
Union Berlin
Bulter (31' pen.)
Thiaw (45+2')
Thorsby (6'), Becker (36', 46'), Haberer (45+3'), Michel (87', 90')
Feb 13, 2021 5.30pm
Union Berlin
0-0
Schalke

Trimmel (2'), Hubner (75'), Musa (82')

William (34'), Harit (85')
Oct 18, 2020 5pm
Jun 7, 2020 2.30pm
Nov 29, 2019 7.30pm
Schalke
2-1
Union Berlin
Raman (23'), Serdar (86')
McKennie (90')
Ingvartsen (36' pen.)
Schlotterbeck (22'), Andersson (38'), Hubner (42'), Friedrich (69')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Werder Bremen146442224-222
9Wolfsburg146353125621
10Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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