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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 19, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Schalke

Union Berlin
0 - 0
Schalke

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 0-0 Union Berlin
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Schalke 0-0 Wolfsburg
Friday, February 10 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 19.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawSchalke 04
58.04% (0.381 0.38)22.3% (-0.133 -0.13)19.66% (-0.249 -0.25)
Both teams to score 53.42% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81% (0.223 0.22)45.19% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (0.214 0.21)67.53% (-0.215 -0.22)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72% (0.20099999999999 0.2)15.28% (-0.202 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.02% (0.378 0.38)43.98% (-0.379 -0.38)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.05% (-0.134 -0.13)36.95% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.26% (-0.133 -0.13)73.74% (0.131 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 58.04%
    Schalke 04 19.66%
    Draw 22.29%
Union BerlinDrawSchalke 04
1-0 @ 10.6% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.96% (0.044 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.24% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.93% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 58.04%
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.64% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 5.62% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.8% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 19.66%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Schalke

Union Berlin
88.5%
Draw
8.3%
Schalke 04
3.1%
96
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Schalke
1-6
Union Berlin
Bulter (31' pen.)
Thiaw (45+2')
Thorsby (6'), Becker (36', 46'), Haberer (45+3'), Michel (87', 90')
Feb 13, 2021 5.30pm
Union Berlin
0-0
Schalke

Trimmel (2'), Hubner (75'), Musa (82')

William (34'), Harit (85')
Oct 18, 2020 5pm
Jun 7, 2020 2.30pm
Nov 29, 2019 7.30pm
Schalke
2-1
Union Berlin
Raman (23'), Serdar (86')
McKennie (90')
Ingvartsen (36' pen.)
Schlotterbeck (22'), Andersson (38'), Hubner (42'), Friedrich (69')