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Schalke
Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Oct 18, 2020 at 5pm UK
Veltins-Arena
Union Berlin logo

Schalke
1 - 1
Union Berlin

Paciencia (69')
Skrzybski (71'), Paciencia (77'), Harit (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Friedrich (55')
Promel (74')

Preview: Schalke 04 vs. Union Berlin - predictions, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga fixture between Schalke 04 and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

A struggling Schalke 04 welcome ninth-placed Union Berlin at the Veltins Arena in Sunday's Bundesliga fixture.

The home side's torrid start to the season can be summed up by the 4-0 hammering they suffered at RB Leipzig in their previous outing, whilst Union trounced Mainz by the same scoreline at home.


Match preview

Schalke 04 manager Manuel Baum pictured during his time in charge of Augsburg in 2019© Reuters

Despite finishing in a respectable 12th place last season, Schalke have only managed to win a single league game in 2020.

Losing Weston McKennie to Juventus and goalkeeper Alexander Nubel to Bayern Munich only appears to have increased their struggles this season, having lost all three of their opening matches.

Die Knappen approach this fixture sitting 18th in the Bundesliga, having scored the joint fewest goals (1) and conceded the most (15), with eight of those coming in their opening day loss against Bayern.

Union in contrast managed to grab their first win of the season against Mainz coming off the back of a hard-earned draw at Borussia Monchengladbach beforehand.

Still, the two sides finished 12th and 11th respectively last season and it is likely to be a closely-fought contest again despite Schalke's poor form.

Union Berlin players celebrate beating Mainz in the Bundesliga in October 2020© Reuters

Union ranked 16th in the league for away matches last season, their four away wins out of a possible 17 displaying a clear weakness in the side.

Whilst the victory over Mainz may have given Union confidence, Mainz are a side that has yet to secure any points this season, meaning the win may have said more about the opposition than Urs Fischer's side.

Schalke, who beat Paderborn 5-1 in last week's friendly, will be boosted by the fact that Union are without their top goalscorer from last season Sebastian Andersson, who joined FC Koln in the summer.

Schalke boss Manuel Baum will be hoping his side can repeat the 2-1 victory from the corresponding fixture last season, knowing that Union's attacking style will allow the home side opportunities to score.

Schalke 04 Bundesliga form: LLL
Schalke 04 form (all competitions): LLL

Union Berlin Bundesliga form: LDW
Union Berlin form (all competitions): WLDW


Team News

Schalke 04's Ozan Kabak pictured in action in June 2020© Reuters

Moroccan midfielder Amine Harit is set to miss out again for Schalke after testing positive for coronavirus.

Defender Ozan Kabak is available for selection, having served the suspension he picked up against Werder Bremen on matchday two.

Meanwhile, Mark Uth will be looking to continue his goalscoring form following a spectacular hat-trick against Paderborn.

For Union, Christian Gentner is out with a calf injury whilst Anthony Ujah's knee problem rules him out.

Schalke 04 possible starting lineup:
Fahrmann; Kabak, Sane, Nastasic; Schopf, Bentaleb, Mascarell, Serdar, Oczipka; Uth, Paciencia

Union Berlin possible starting lineup:
Luthe; Friedrich, Schlotterbeck, Knoche, Trimmel, Lenz; Promel, Andrich; Kruse, Ingvartsen, Becker


SM words green background

We say: Schalke 04 1-1 Union Berlin

Schalke's lacklustre form this calendar year means that they are already early candidates for relegation this season.

However, even without the famous crowd present to create a hostile atmosphere for the visitors, previous meetings between the two and with Union's away struggles mean that this is likely to be an evenly-matched contest.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Written by
Kasra Moradi

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke and Union Berlin?

Schalke
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Draw
0.0%
Union Berlin
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Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1SC PaderbornSC Paderborn157622721627
2KaiserslauternKaiserslautern157532921826
3Hannover158252216626
4Elversberg157442718925
5Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf157442517825
6FC Koln157442822625
7Hamburger SV1566333221124
8Magdeburg156632421324
9Karlsruher SCKarlsruher156542828023
10SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt155643026421
11Hertha Berlin156362625121
12Nuremberg155462927219
13Greuther Furth154562328-517
14Schalke 04Schalke154472731-416
15Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig153481632-1613
16SSV UlmUlm152671519-412
17Preussen Munster152671622-612
18Jahn RegensburgJahn152211534-298


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