Potential new EL header

Europa League

Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Joseph Mariën
Union Berlin logo

Union SG
3 - 0
Union Berlin

Teuma (18'), Thierry Lazare (63'), Lapoussin (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Union SG and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Genk 1-2 Union SG
Sunday, March 12 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Union Berlin

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, March 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 53.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawUnion Berlin
53.22% (0.00099999999999767 0)24.19%22.59% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 51.66% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.37% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)49.62% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35%71.64% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41%18.58% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.14% (0.00099999999999767 0)49.86% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.45% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)36.55% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.66% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)73.34% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 53.22%
    Union Berlin 22.59%
    Draw 24.19%
Union SGDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.43%
3-0 @ 5.4%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 2.29%
4-0 @ 2.27%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 53.22%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 6.79%
2-2 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.84%
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.44%
1-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.64%
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 22.59%

How you voted: Union SG vs Union Berlin

Union SG
35.6%
Draw
15.4%
Union Berlin
49.0%
149
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2023 5.45pm
Round of 16
Union Berlin
3-3
Union SG
Juranovic (42'), Knoche (69'), Michel (89')
Knoche (75'), Giesselmann (85')
Okoh Boniface (28', 72'), Vertessen (58')
Vertessen (20'), Lynen (53'), Burgess (68')
Nov 3, 2022 8pm
Group D
Union SG
0-1
Union Berlin
Michel (6')
Becker (9')
Sep 8, 2022 5.45pm
Group D
Union Berlin
0-1
Union SG

Trimmel (51')
Lynen (39')