Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 12, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Wolfsburg1 - 1Union Berlin
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Frankfurt
Sunday, March 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, March 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-3 Union SG
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
We said: Wolfsburg 1-0 Union Berlin
Neither side have enjoyed particularly inspiring runs of form recently, but Wolfsburg's home advantage, which has had a particularly noticeable effect on Union over the years, gives them the slight edge in what could well be a tight contest on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
44.3% ( -0.32) | 25.35% ( -0.02) | 30.35% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 54.71% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
