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Freiburg logo
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Wolfsburg

FC Koln
0 - 2
Wolfsburg


Hector (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gerhardt (4'), Arnold (68' pen.)
Svanberg (73'), Nmecha (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-0 FC Koln
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 2-1 Wolfsburg

FC Koln have suffered a solitary defeat in six games since the restart, picking up positive results against the likes of Bayern Munich, RB Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt, while Wolfsburg have lost three of their last four outings. On top of that, Koln's recent record at RheinEnergieStadion is hugely impressive, so we expect the Billy Goats to edge out the Wolves on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
FC KolnDrawWolfsburg
45.99% (0.29499999999999 0.29) 24.77% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 29.23% (-0.32 -0.32)
Both teams to score 55.96% (-0.275 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.12% (-0.269 -0.27)46.87% (0.267 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.87% (-0.253 -0.25)69.13% (0.251 0.25)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (0.018000000000001 0.02)20.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (0.028999999999996 0.03)52.9% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)29.65% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3% (-0.442 -0.44)65.7% (0.441 0.44)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 45.99%
    Wolfsburg 29.23%
    Draw 24.77%
FC KolnDrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.113 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.99%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 29.23%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Wolfsburg

FC Koln
75.0%
Draw
13.3%
Wolfsburg
11.7%
60
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-4
FC Koln
Nmecha (2', 79')
van de Ven (38'), Marmoush (82')
Ljubicic (22'), Otavio (32' og.), Kainz (45+2' pen.), Adamyan (81')
Duda (63')
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Dec 14, 2021 7.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-3
FC Koln
Nmecha (8'), Weghorst (51')
Nmecha (14'), Roussillon (80'), Arnold (81')
Modeste (34', 89'), Uth (73')
Schmitz (61'), Czichos (87')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
2-2
Wolfsburg
Thielmann (18'), Duda (43')
Arnold (29'), Weghorst (47')
Otavio (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Fritz
Rublev
4 3
6 6
Result
Auger-Aliassime
Lehecka
3
3

(ret.)
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Hoffenheim32117145664-840
8Freiburg31117134355-1240
9Augsburg31109124852-439
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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