Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.