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Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
Koln logo

Stuttgart
3 - 0
FC Koln

Dias (9'), Sosa (59'), Coulibaly (74')
Wamangituka (23'), Mavropanos (51'), Millot (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Chabot (23'), Baumgart (23'), Schmitz (58'), Skhiri (65'), Adamyan (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Stuttgart
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 3-0 Frankfurt
Sunday, February 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 0-0 FC Koln

Koln's matches have been very low on goal-mouth action in recent weeks, while Stuttgart will be desperate to stop the rot and avoid a fourth successive defeat in the Bundesliga. Labbadia's side will be hoping for a favour from Dortmund against their relegation rivals Hertha on Sunday, with a draw potentially enough to move them into the relegation playoff spot should they receive one. Baumgart is unlikely to be too disappointed if his side can continue their run of clean sheets. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawFC Koln
48.55% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18) 24.15% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 27.31% (0.114 0.11)
Both teams to score 56.66% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.68% (-0.218 -0.22)45.33% (0.223 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.34% (-0.209 -0.21)67.66% (0.215 0.22)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.24% (-0.154 -0.15)18.77% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.84% (-0.261 -0.26)50.17% (0.266 0.27)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.75% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)30.26% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.58% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)66.43% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 48.55%
    FC Koln 27.31%
    Draw 24.14%
StuttgartDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.95% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 48.55%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.14%
0-1 @ 6.79% (0.059 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.06% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 27.31%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs FC Koln

Stuttgart
32.6%
Draw
25.6%
FC Koln
41.9%
43
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 2.30pm
FC Koln
0-0
Stuttgart

Kilian (58'), Ljubicic (87')

Karazor (79'), Millot (90+5')
Pfeiffer (56'), Matarazzo (72')
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Stuttgart
2-1
FC Koln
Kalajdzic (12'), Endo (90+2')
Coulibaly (90+7')
Modeste (59')
Baumgart (28'), Horn (79'), Schmitz (81'), Modeste (90'), Schwabe (90+6')
Dec 19, 2021 4.30pm
FC Koln
1-0
Stuttgart
Modeste (89')
Kainz (69'), Hector (86'), Thielmann (90+3')

Marmoush (21')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Stuttgart
0-2
FC Koln

Ahamada (86')
Modeste (72', 77')
Uth (75')
Feb 20, 2021 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
7Werder Bremen146442224-222
8Wolfsburg146353125621
9Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
11Stuttgart135532623320
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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