Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.