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UEFA Conference League

Gent
Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
GHELAMCO-arena
Istanbul Basaksehir

Gent
1 - 1
Istanbul

Orban (35')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Okaka (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Gent and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gent

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gent 1-0 Anderlecht
Sunday, March 5 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Alanyaspor 1-0 Istanbul
Friday, March 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
GentDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
43.93% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)26.45% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)29.62% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.85% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)53.64% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.86% (0.0040000000000013 0)75.13% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)24.27% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)58.63% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.14% (0.010999999999996 0.01)32.85% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.57% (0.013000000000002 0.01)69.42% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gent 43.93%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 29.62%
    Draw 26.44%
GentDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 11.29%
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 7.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 8.87%
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.62%

How you voted: Gent vs Istanbul

Gent
70.1%
Draw
19.6%
Istanbul Basaksehir
10.3%
97