Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 51.49%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.