Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Umraniyespor win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Umraniyespor	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
34.95% ( 0.15)	26.64% ( 0.05)	38.4% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 51.99% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.02% (

-0.17)

52.97% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.42% (

-0.15)

74.57% (

0.15)

Umraniyespor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.09% (

0.01)

28.91% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.21% (

0.01)

64.78% (

-0.01)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.12% (

-0.19)

26.87% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.81% (

-0.25)

62.18% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Umraniyespor 34.95%

Istanbul Basaksehir 38.4%

Draw 26.63%

Umraniyespor	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.95%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63%	0-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.4%