Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Kasimpasa	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
31.93% ( 0.16)	25.11% ( 0.05)	42.96% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 56.25% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.87% (

-0.19)

47.13% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.63% (

-0.18)

69.36% (

0.17)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.04% (

0.01)

27.96% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.41% (

0.01)

63.59% (

-0.01)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.08% (

-0.18)

21.92% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.81% (

-0.27)

55.19% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Kasimpasa 31.93%

Istanbul Basaksehir 42.96%

Draw 25.11%

Kasimpasa	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.93%	1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.96%