Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 22
Feb 2, 2023 at 2pm UK
Kadir Has Şehir Stadı
Istanbul Basaksehir

Kayserispor
1 - 0
Istanbul

Karimi (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kayserispor and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kayserispor

All competitions
Last Game: Istanbulspor 2-4 Kayserispor
Sunday, January 29 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Last Game: Istanbul 2-0 Konyaspor
Sunday, January 29 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
KayserisporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
34.07% (0.109 0.11)25.33% (0.07 0.07)40.6% (-0.182 -0.18)
Both teams to score 56.18% (-0.212 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.47% (-0.288 -0.29)47.53% (0.285 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.26% (-0.268 -0.27)69.73% (0.264 0.26)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)26.82% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.88% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)62.11% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77% (-0.217 -0.22)23.23% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.86% (-0.319 -0.32)57.14% (0.316 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Kayserispor 34.07%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 40.6%
    Draw 25.33%
KayserisporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 8.2% (0.081 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.4% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.37% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 34.07%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 9.09% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.74% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.25% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.23% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 40.6%

How you voted: Kayserispor vs Istanbul

Kayserispor
33.3%
Draw
15.4%
Istanbul Basaksehir
51.3%
39
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 5.15pm
Istanbul
2-0
Kayserispor
Chadli (22'), Ozcan (50')
Turuc (26'), Lima (44'), Aleksic (59'), Touba (61'), Crivelli (90+1')
Jan 19, 2022 3pm
Kayserispor
1-0
Istanbul
Demirok (73')
Akdag (62'), Parmak (87')

Turuc (61'), Cigerci (72'), Epureanu (81')
Aug 28, 2021 5.15pm
Istanbul
0-1
Kayserispor

Lima (38'), Gulbrandsen (45+1'), Ali Sahiner (65')
Thiam (4')
Demirok (53')
May 11, 2021 6.30pm
Istanbul
0-0
Kayserispor

Bolingoli-Mbombo (13')

Subasi (83')
Jan 19, 2021 1pm
Kayserispor
2-0
Istanbul
Alibec (42', 77')
Sapunaru (90+1')