Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 30

Apr 9, 2023 at 2pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
1 - 5
Crystal Palace

Bamford (21')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Guehi (45+1'), Ayew (53', 77'), Eze (55'), Edouard (69')

The Match

Match Report

Crystal Palace complete a remarkable turnaround to thrash relegation rivals Leeds United 5-1 at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-1 Leicester
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 23.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Crystal Palace
51.69% ( 0.13)	24.33% ( -0.06)	23.97% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 52.84% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.14% (

0.16)

48.85% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.05% (

0.15)

70.94% (

-0.16)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.11% (

0.11)

18.88% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.64% (

0.19)

50.35% (

-0.2)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.14% (

0.02)

34.85% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.41% (

0.02)

71.59% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 51.68%

Crystal Palace 23.97%

Draw 24.33%

Leeds United	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 51.68%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.33%	0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 23.97%