Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.56%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Leicester City |
| 34.8% ( | 23.07% ( | 42.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.4% ( | 36.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.24% ( | 58.76% ( |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% ( | 21.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.78% ( | 54.22% ( |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.1% ( | 17.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.31% ( | 48.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 1-0 @ 5.9% ( 2-0 @ 4.56% ( 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 4-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.8% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 2-2 @ 6.75% ( 0-0 @ 3.81% ( 3-3 @ 2% ( Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0-2 @ 5.64% ( 1-3 @ 5% ( 2-3 @ 3.87% ( 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 2-4 @ 1.66% ( 0-4 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 3.9% Total : 42.13% |