Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.