Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fulham in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Leeds United |
| 45.98% ( | 24.08% ( | 29.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.63% ( | 43.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.23% ( | 65.77% ( |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( | 19.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.38% ( | 50.62% ( |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.6% ( | 27.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.13% ( | 62.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Leeds United |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 4-2 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 45.98% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 3-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0-2 @ 4.37% ( 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 1-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.94% |