Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Leeds United |
32.77% ( 0.01) | 25.59% ( 0) | 41.64% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.95% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.04% ( -0.01) | 48.95% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.95% ( -0.01) | 71.04% ( 0.01) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.68% ( 0) | 28.32% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.95% ( 0) | 64.05% ( -0) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.66% ( -0.01) | 23.34% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.7% ( -0.02) | 57.3% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.77% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 31 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 27 |
6 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 |
8 | Bournemouth | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 24 |
9 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
10 | Brentford | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 23 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 20 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
15 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 5 |
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