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Premier League | Gameweek 34
Apr 30, 2023 at 2pm UK
Dean Court
Leeds logo

Bournemouth
4 - 1
Leeds

Lerma (20', 24'), Solanke (63'), Semenyo (90+1')
Smith (55')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bamford (32')

The Match

Match Report

Bournemouth take a giant step towards Premier League survival with a 4-1 thumping of fellow relegation candidates Leeds United at the Vitality Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Bournemouth
Thursday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Leicester
Tuesday, April 25 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
BournemouthDrawLeeds United
32.77% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 25.59% (0.0039999999999978 0) 41.64% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.95% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.04% (-0.012 -0.01)48.95% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.95% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)71.04% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (0.0019999999999953 0)28.32% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (0.0039999999999978 0)64.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)23.34% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.7% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)57.3% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 32.77%
    Leeds United 41.64%
    Draw 25.58%
BournemouthDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 2.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.77%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 9.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 8.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.39% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.64%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Leeds

Bournemouth
54.5%
Draw
26.2%
Leeds United
19.3%
145
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
gameweek 15
Leeds
4-3
Bournemouth
Rodrigo (3' pen.), Greenwood (60'), Cooper (68'), Summerville (84')
Tavernier (7'), Billing (19'), Solanke (48')
Lerma (45+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City158342721627
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Fulham166642422224
10Brentford157263128323
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton153661421-715
16Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1512121131-205


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