Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Leeds United |
| 32.77% ( | 25.59% ( | 41.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.04% ( | 48.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.95% ( | 71.04% ( |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.68% ( | 28.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.95% ( | 64.05% ( |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( | 23.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.7% ( | 57.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 2.21% ( 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.77% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0-2 @ 7% ( 1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0-3 @ 3.39% ( 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 2-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.64% |