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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Southampton
0 - 1
Bournemouth

FT(HT: 0-0)
Tavernier (50')
Senesi (65'), Lerma (77'), Vina (86')

The Match

Match Report

Southampton's relegation fears deepen after suffering a 1-0 defeat at home to Bournemouth in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 3-3 Southampton
Friday, April 21 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-4 West Ham
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawBournemouth
40.97% (-0.759 -0.76) 26.82% (0.175 0.18) 32.21% (0.584 0.58)
Both teams to score 50.82% (-0.345 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.82% (-0.53 -0.53)54.18% (0.529 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.41% (-0.444 -0.44)75.59% (0.44499999999999 0.44)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.64099999999999 -0.64)26.03% (0.642 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.87 -0.87)61.06% (0.869 0.87)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.7% (0.129 0.13)31.29% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.35% (0.149 0.15)67.65% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 40.97%
    Bournemouth 32.21%
    Draw 26.81%
SouthamptonDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 40.97%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.167 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.227 0.23)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.5% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.21%

How you voted: Southampton vs Bournemouth

Southampton
45.7%
Draw
16.4%
Bournemouth
37.9%
140
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 7.30pm
Mar 20, 2021 12.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Bournemouth
0-3
Southampton

Wilshere (84'), Surridge (90+3')
Djenepo (37'), Redmond (45+1', 59')
Bednarek (30'), Vestergaard (74')
Jul 19, 2020 2pm
Sep 20, 2019 8pm
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
gameweek 36
Southampton
3-3
Bournemouth
Long (12'), Ward-Prowse (55'), Targett (67')
Romeu (26'), Long (35')
Gosling (20'), Wilson (32', 86')
Gosling (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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