Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Bournemouth |
40.97% ( -0.76) | 26.82% ( 0.18) | 32.21% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 50.82% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.82% ( -0.53) | 54.18% ( 0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.41% ( -0.44) | 75.59% ( 0.44) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.97% ( -0.64) | 26.03% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.94% ( -0.87) | 61.06% ( 0.87) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.7% ( 0.13) | 31.29% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.35% ( 0.15) | 67.65% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Bournemouth |
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.97% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 31 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 27 |
6 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 |
8 | Bournemouth | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 24 |
9 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
10 | Brentford | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 23 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 20 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
15 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 5 |
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