Premier League
Gameweek
33
-
Marcus Tavernier 50'
Southampton vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
Match Preview
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
Result
Southampton
40.97%
▼
(-0.76)
Draw
26.82%
▲
(+0.18)
Bournemouth
32.21%
▲
(+0.59)
Both Teams to Score:
50.82%
▼
(-0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.82%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 2.5
54.18%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 3.5
24.41%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 3.5
75.59%
▲
(+0.45)
Over 4.5
10.98%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 4.5
89.01%
▲
(+0.29)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5
73.97%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 0.5
26.03%
▲
(+0.65)
Over 1.5
38.94%
▼
(-0.88)
Under 1.5
61.06%
▲
(+0.87)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5
68.7%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 0.5
31.29%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 1.5
32.35%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 1.5
67.65%
▼
(-0.16)
Score analysis
Southampton
40.97%
Draw
26.81%
Bournemouth
32.21%
Southampton
1-0
@
10.96%
▲
(+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.57% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 40.97%
2-1 @ 8.57% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 40.97%
Draw
1-1
@
12.73%
▲
(+0.08)
0-0 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.81%
0-0 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.81%
Bournemouth
0-1
@
9.46%
▲
(+0.23)
1-2 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.21%
1-2 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.21%
Head to Head
Premier League
Gameweek
12
-
Che Adams 9'
FA Cup
-
Jack Wilshere
84'
-
Sam Surridge
90'+3'
-
Jan Bednarek 30'
-
Moussa Djenepo 37'
-
Nathan Redmond 45'+1'
-
Nathan Redmond 59'
-
Jannik Vestergaard 74'
Premier League
Gameweek
37
-
Philip Billing
47'
-
Lewis Cook
78'
-
Jannik Vestergaard 34'
-
Danny Ings 41'
-
James Ward-Prowse 90'+3'
-
Che Adams 90'+8'
Premier League
Gameweek
6
-
James Ward-Prowse
53'
-
Oriol Romeu
80'
-
Nathan Ake 10'
-
Jefferson Lerma 20'
-
Harry Wilson 35'
-
Harry Wilson 54'
-
Jack Stacey 64'
-
Callum Wilson 95'
Premier League
Gameweek
36
-
Shane Long
12'
-
Oriol Romeu
26'
-
Shane Long
35'
-
James Ward-Prowse
55'
-
Matt Targett
67'
-
Dan Gosling 20'
-
Callum Wilson 32'
-
Dan Gosling 45'
-
Callum Wilson 86'
Premier League
Gameweek
9
-
Callum Wilson
86'
-
Ryan Bertrand 34'
-
Mario Lemina 41'