Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 31

Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
0 - 2
Crystal Palace

FT(HT: 0-0)

Eze (54', 68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 1-4 Man City
Saturday, April 8 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 1-5 Crystal Palace
Sunday, April 9 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Crystal Palace
35.23% ( -0.03)	25.59% ( -0)	39.18% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 55.54% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.55% (

0.02)

48.45% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.42% (

0.02)

70.58% (

-0.01)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.43% (

-0.01)

26.57% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.22% (

-0.01)

61.78% (

0.01)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.63% (

0.02)

24.37% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.22% (

0.03)

58.78% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Southampton 35.23%

Crystal Palace 39.18%

Draw 25.58%

Southampton	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 35.23%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.45% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 39.18%