Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.