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Manchester City vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
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News
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The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.91%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Chelsea had a probability of 12.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 3-0 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Chelsea win it was 1-2 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Manchester City
70.91%
▼
(-2.54)
Draw
16.71%
▲
(+1.31)
Chelsea
12.37%
▲
(+1.23)
Both Teams to Score:
55.97%
▼
(-1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.46%
▼
(-3.20)
Under 2.5
33.54%
▲
(+3.19)
Over 3.5
44.66%
▼
(-3.74)
Under 3.5
55.34%
▲
(+3.73)
Over 4.5
26%
▼
(-3.28)
Under 4.5
74%
▲
(+3.28)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5
91.61%
▼
(-1.29)
Under 0.5
8.38%
▲
(+1.29)
Over 1.5
70.83%
▼
(-3.30)
Under 1.5
29.17%
▲
(+3.30)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5
61.09%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 0.5
38.91%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 1.5
24.36%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
75.63%
▲
(+0.25)
Score analysis
Manchester City
70.91%
Draw
16.71%
Chelsea
12.37%
Manchester City
2-0
@
10.02%
▲
(+0.43)
2-1 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.34)
3-0 @ 8.28% ▼ (-0.19)
1-0 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.83)
3-1 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.23)
4-0 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.47)
4-1 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.48)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.14)
5-0 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.42)
5-1 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.42)
4-2 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.25)
5-2 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.21)
6-0 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 70.91%
2-1 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.34)
3-0 @ 8.28% ▼ (-0.19)
1-0 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.83)
3-1 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.23)
4-0 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.47)
4-1 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.48)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.14)
5-0 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.42)
5-1 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.42)
4-2 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.25)
5-2 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.21)
6-0 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 70.91%
Draw
1-1
@
7.63%
▲
(+0.74)
2-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.52)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 16.71%
2-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.52)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 16.71%
Chelsea
1-2
@
3.6%
▲
(+0.33)
0-1 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.48)
0-2 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.22)
2-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 12.37%
0-1 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.48)
0-2 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.22)
2-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 12.37%
Head to Head
Marcos Alonso
7'
Form Data
Build-up
Team News
News
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News
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