Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 36

May 14, 2023 at 2pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
0 - 3
Man City

FT(HT: 0-2)

Gundogan (37', 51'), Braut Haaland (39')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions

Last Game: Brighton 1-5 Everton
Monday, May 8 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Man City
Tuesday, May 9 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Everton had a probability of 11.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Manchester City
11.37% ( -0.13)	17.65% ( -0.04)	70.98% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 48.86% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.02% (

-0.14)

40.98% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.63% (

-0.14)

63.37% (

0.14)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.46% (

-0.31)

45.53% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.64% (

-0.25)

81.36% (

0.24)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.71% (

10.29% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.3% (

0.01)

33.69% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Everton 11.37%

Manchester City 70.97%

Draw 17.65%

Everton	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 11.37%	1-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.83% Total : 17.65%	0-2 @ 12.11% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 9.18% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 5.22% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.87% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.25% Total : 70.97%