Real Madrid vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.