La Liga Gameweek 32
Real Madrid
Apr 29, 2023 5.30pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Almeria
  • Karim Benzema 5' goal
  • Karim Benzema 17' goal
  • Karim Benzema 42' goal
  • Rodrygo 47' goal
  • goal Lazaro 45'+1'
  • goal Lucas Robertone 61'

Real Madrid vs Almeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2023 6.30pm
Girona 4 - 2 Real Madrid
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Karim Benzema

Almeria

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2023 6.30pm
Getafe 1 - 2 Almeria
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
El Bilal Toure

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 84.22%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 5.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 3-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.16%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 84.22% ▼ (-0.92)
Draw 9.88% ▲ (+0.53)
Almeria 5.9% ▲ (+0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.37% ▼ (-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 79.86% ▼ (-1.18)
Under 2.5 20.14% ▲ (+1.18)
Over 3.5 61.7% ▼ (-1.70)
Under 3.5 38.3% ▲ (+1.70)
Over 4.5 42.34% ▼ (-1.84)
Under 4.5 57.67% ▲ (+1.84)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 96.64% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 0.5 3.36% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 1.5 85.23% ▼ (-1.05)
Under 1.5 14.77% ▲ (+1.05)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5 58.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 41.67% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 21.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 78.15% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 84.22%
Draw 9.88%
Almeria 5.9%
Real Madrid
3-0 @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.32)
3-1 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 7.73% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.28)
4-1 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.11)
5-0 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.24)
1-0 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.31)
5-1 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.21)
3-2 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.05)
6-0 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.22)
4-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.05)
6-1 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.19)
5-2 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.09)
7-0 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.15)
7-1 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.14)
6-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 5.03%
Total : 84.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.28)
2-2 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 9.88%
Almeria
1-2 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.12)
0-1 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 5.9%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 1
Almeria
Aug 14, 2022 9.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Real Madrid
  • Largie Ramazani 6' goal
  • Umar Sadiq 40' yellowcard
  • Curro 67' yellowcard
  • Arnau Puigmal 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 40'
  • goal Lucas Vazquez 61'
  • goal David Alaba 75'
La Liga
Real Madrid
Apr 29, 2015 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Almeria
  • James Rodriguez 44' goal
  • Mauro Dos Santos 49' goal
  • Fabio Coentrao 76' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Arbeloa 84' goal
La Liga
Almeria
Dec 12, 2014 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
Real Madrid
  • Verza 11' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Dubarbier 30' yellowcard
  • Verza 39' goal
  • Fernando Soriano 52' yellowcard
  • Fran Velez 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gareth Bale 24'
  • goal Isco 34'
  • goal Gareth Bale 42'
  • yellowcard Marcelo 57'
  • yellowcard Asier Illarramendi 62'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Ronaldo 76'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 81'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 88'
La Liga
Real Madrid
Apr 12, 2014 9.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Almeria
  • Angel di Maria 28' goal
  • Gareth Bale 53' goal
  • Isco 56' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 84' goal
La Liga
Almeria
Nov 23, 2013 7.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT
Real Madrid
  • Suarez Esteban 74' yellowcard
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 3'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Arbeloa 56'
  • goal Karim Benzema 61'
  • yellowcard Sergio Ramos 68'
  • goal Gareth Bale 72'
  • goal Isco 75'
  • goal Alvaro Morata 81'

Form Data

Girona 4 - 2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 2 - 0 Celta Vigo
Chelsea 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Cadiz 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 2 - 0 Chelsea
Real Madrid 2 - 3 Villarreal
Getafe 1 - 2 Almeria
Almeria 1 - 2 Athletic Bilbao
Atletico 2 - 1 Almeria
Almeria 2 - 1 Valencia
Celta Vigo 2 - 2 Almeria
Almeria 1 - 1 Cadiz

Build-up

News