Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Valencia |
39.19% ( -0.2) | 27.15% ( 0.02) | 33.66% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 50.17% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.81% ( -0.04) | 55.18% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.57% ( -0.03) | 76.42% ( 0.03) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.53% ( -0.13) | 27.47% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.04% ( -0.17) | 62.96% ( 0.17) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.17% ( 0.1) | 30.83% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.89% ( 0.12) | 67.11% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.19% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 36 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
8 | Mallorca | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 19 |
13 | Sevilla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |