La Liga Gameweek 28
Almeria
Apr 9, 2023 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Valencia
  • Gonzalo Melero 49' goal
  • Srdan Babic 58' goal
  • goal Samu Castillejo 61'

Almeria vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2023 1.00pm
Celta Vigo 2 - 2 Almeria
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
El Bilal Toure

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2023 8.00pm
Valencia 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Samuel Lino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result

Almeria 39.19% ▼ (-0.20)
Draw 27.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Valencia 33.66% ▲ (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.17% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 55.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 23.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 76.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 10.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 89.53% ▲ (+0.02)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5 72.53% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 27.47% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 37.04% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 62.96% ▲ (+0.17)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 69.17% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 30.83% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 32.89% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 67.11% ▼ (-0.12)

Score analysis

Almeria 39.19%
Draw 27.14%
Valencia 33.66%
Almeria
1-0 @ 10.94% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.32% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.07% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 39.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.87% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.47% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.14%
Valencia
0-1 @ 9.97% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33.66%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 18
Valencia
Jan 23, 2023 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Almeria
  • Justin Kluivert 48' goal
  • Jose Gaya 65' goal
  • goal Chumi 54'
  • goal Francisco Portillo 74'
La Liga
Almeria
May 23, 2015 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT
Valencia
  • Thomas Partey 9' goal
  • Fernando Soriano 37' goal
  • Jose Manuel Casado 68' yellowcard
  • Wellington Silva 75' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolas Otamendi 28'
  • yellowcard Antonio Barragan 34'
  • goal Sofiane Feghouli 45'
  • yellowcard Daniel Parejo 69'
  • yellowcard Sofiane Feghouli 75'
  • goal Alcacer Paco 80'
  • yellowcard Jose Gaya 86'
  • redcard Daniel Parejo 89'
  • yellowcard Javi Fuego 92'
La Liga
Valencia
Jan 17, 2015 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT
Almeria
  • Daniel Parejo 11' goal
  • Rodrigo 28' goal
  • Lucas Orban 57' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Negredo 83' goal
  • Rodrigo De Paul 86' yellowcard
  • goal Tomer Hemed 13'
  • goal Tomer Hemed 33'
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 40'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Dubarbier 81'
La Liga
Almeria
Mar 27, 2014 9.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Valencia
  • Corona 9' yellowcard
  • Aleix Parreu 25' yellowcard
  • Angel Trujillo 38' yellowcard
  • Oscar Diaz 53' goal
  • Oscar Diaz 56' goal
  • Oscar Diaz 56' yellowcard
  • Jose Antonio Verza 86' yellowcard
  • goal Seydou Keita 2'
  • goal Eduardo Vargas 34'
  • yellowcard Javi Fuego 64'
  • yellowcard Joao Pereira 90'
La Liga
Valencia
Oct 30, 2013 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Almeria
  • Jonas 33' goal
  • yellowcard Sebastian Dubarbier 20'
  • yellowcard Helder Barbosa 28'
  • yellowcard Hernan Pellerano 35'
  • goal Marco Torsiglieri 61'
  • goal Aleix Vidal 70'
  • yellowcard Nelson 83'
  • yellowcard Suso 85'

Form Data

Celta Vigo 2 - 2 Almeria
Almeria 1 - 1 Cadiz
Sevilla 2 - 1 Almeria
Almeria 0 - 2 Villarreal
Almeria 1 - 0 Barcelona
Girona 6 - 2 Almeria
Valencia 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Atletico 3 - 0 Valencia
Valencia 1 - 0 Osasuna
Barcelona 1 - 0 Valencia
Valencia 1 - 0 Real Sociedad
Getafe 1 - 0 Valencia