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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 9, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Valencia logo

Almeria
2 - 1
Valencia

Melero (49'), Babic (58')
Chumi (20'), Suarez Charris (23'), Robertone (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Castillejo (61')
Foulquier (7'), Perez (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, April 2 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, April 3 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Valencia

Valencia have the third-worst away record in the league this season, so we are finding it tough to back them to secure all three points. Almeria's impressive home form this term makes them the favourites, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawValencia
39.19% (-0.196 -0.2) 27.15% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 33.66% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Both teams to score 50.17% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.81% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)55.18% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)76.42% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (-0.127 -0.13)27.47% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (-0.166 -0.17)62.96% (0.166 0.17)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17% (0.10000000000001 0.1)30.83% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89% (0.117 0.12)67.11% (-0.116 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 39.19%
    Valencia 33.66%
    Draw 27.14%
AlmeriaDrawValencia
1-0 @ 10.94% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.07% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 39.19%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 9.97% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.86% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.97% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33.66%

How you voted: Almeria vs Valencia

Almeria
35.8%
Draw
35.8%
Valencia
28.4%
67
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2023 8pm
Valencia
2-2
Almeria
Kluivert (48'), Gaya (65')
Cavani (45'), Almeida (83')
Chumi (54'), Portillo (74')
Melero (80')
May 23, 2015 5.30pm
Almeria
2-3
Valencia
Partey (9'), Soriano (37')
Manuel Casado (68'), Silva (75')
Otamendi (28'), Feghouli (45'), Paco (80')
Barragan (34'), Parejo (69'), Feghouli (75'), Gaya (86'), Fuego (92')
Parejo (89')
Jan 17, 2015 5pm
Valencia
3-2
Almeria
Parejo (11'), Rodrigo (28'), Negredo (83')
Orban (57'), De Paul (86')
Hemed (13', 33')
Partey (40'), Dubarbier (81')
Mar 27, 2014 9pm
Almeria
2-2
Valencia
Diaz (53', 56')
Corona (9'), Parreu (25'), Trujillo (38'), Diaz (56'), Antonio Verza (86')
Keita (2'), Vargas (34')
Fuego (64'), Pereira (90')
Oct 30, 2013 7pm
Valencia
1-2
Almeria
Jonas (33')
Torsiglieri (61'), Vidal (70')
Dubarbier (20'), Barbosa (28'), Pellerano (35'), Nelson (83'), Suso (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Villarreal157532725226
6Real Sociedad167361611524
7Osasuna166642225-324
8Mallorca177371620-424
9GironaGirona166462223-122
10Celta Vigo166372527-221
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
13Sevilla165471723-619
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1541101528-1313
19Valencia142481322-910
20Real ValladolidValladolid1623111134-239


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