Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.09%) and 1-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.